UGL250516P148000
- 9.50
- +1.98+26.33%
ProShares Ultra Gold Newsroom
BofA's Hartnett Warns Sell the Rebound in US Stocks, Dollar
Deutsche Bank warns: The US dollar is facing a crisis of confidence and may fall into a structural decline.
① Deutsche Bank warns that in the next few years, the dollar will fall into a structural downtrend, and the Exchange Rates against the euro may drop to their lowest level in over a decade; ② The USA's tariff policies and increased uncertainty have raised investors' doubts about the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency, leading to a wave of selling of the dollar.
Trump's 'war' with the Federal Reserve has permanently damaged the credit of U.S. bonds.
Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have led investors to intensify the selling of U.S. Treasuries, questioning the credibility of Treasuries as a safe-haven asset. Analysts point out that if the Federal Reserve shifts to a more lenient stance on inflation as Trump desires, or if Trump prematurely nominates a 'shadow chairman' to intervene in monetary policy, the Treasury market will decline further.
U.S. Quarterly Refunding Meeting Could Be Positive for Issuance Outlook -- Market Talk
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": Although the next Federal Reserve Chairman has not been decided, Trump has already tarnished their "credibility".
① Although it is currently unknown who will be the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve, it is certain that this person will be nominated by Trump, and it is difficult to escape a common public doubt; ② This doubt is: will he/she become Trump's "puppet"?
New Federal Reserve News Agency: Trump has made it "harder" for the next Federal Reserve chairman.
The market worries that Trump's public belittling and pressure on Powell will leave an indelible "original sin" for Powell's successor. Regardless of who the next chairman is, the independence of the Federal Reserve will be in question. An independent central bank is often seen as more objective and professional, making its decisions more likely to guide market expectations and stabilize the economy. Since President Clinton's era, most U.S. presidents have adopted a stance of "non-interference" with the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve collectively hits the "pause button"! Amidst the tariff war, Powell holds the "rate cut button" but dares not act rashly?
The Federal Reserve's senior officials spoke intensively on Thursday (April 25), clearly indicating that there is currently no need to adjust the MMF policy. Governor Waller and Cleveland Fed President Mester both emphasized the need to wait for more data to assess the actual impact of Trump's tariffs on the economy. Waller pointed out that the effects of the tariff policy will not be evident until this summer at the earliest, so the likelihood of an immediate policy shift is extremely low. The "bullet effect" of tariffs: Is inflation just a fleeting phenomenon? Waller repeatedly emphasized that tariffs might only trigger a "one-time price increase" rather than sustained inflation. He analyzed that while rising import costs push up prices, shrinking consumption, declining employment, and household financial situations are all factors.
Regarding interest rate cuts! Several Federal Reserve officials have spoken out, with possible action as early as June.
① On Thursday local time, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester ruled out the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate cut in May but hinted at a possible cut in June; ② On the same day, several Federal Reserve officials publicly discussed the matter of rate cuts. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller also stated that he would support a Federal Reserve rate cut if there is a significant rise in the unemployment rate.
Trump Is Making the Next Fed Chair's Job Even Harder -- WSJ
Federal Reserve's Kashkari: Resolving trade disputes will eliminate economic uncertainty.
Kashkari stated on Thursday that resolving trade disputes with major partners as soon as possible will help eliminate the uncertainty hanging over the USA economy.
Another Bullish factor pushing up gold prices? The Central Bank of Kenya is "actively considering" purchasing Gold.
The Governor of the Central Bank of Kenya stated that Kenya is considering incorporating Gold into its Forex reserves in order to diversify its Forex reserves beyond the US dollar and other MMF.
Oil Prices Climb On Weaker US Dollar, Uncertainty Around OPEC+ Output
Fed Kashkari Cites Trade Policy Uncertainty as a Risk to Jobs
Fed's Hammack: "Soft Data" Signals Concerns About Higher Inflation -- Barrons.com
Expectations of Fed Rate Cut by Early Summer Fade
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for April 24
When will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates? Governor Waller has already written the script: take action when the unemployment rate soars.
① Federal Reserve Board member Waller stated that if the Trump administration reinstates high tariffs, companies may increase layoffs, leading to a rise in the unemployment rate, and he would support a rate cut by the Federal Reserve; ② Waller believes that tariffs will have little impact on the economy before July, and that the inflation shock may be temporary, but could cause the unemployment rate to rise rapidly afterwards.
US Dollar's Slide Raising Red Flags for Corporate Earnings
Fed's Waller Says Policymakers Can 'Look Through' One-Time Price Increases
Central U.S. Manufacturing Contracts Again as Tariffs Prompt Uncertainty -- Kansas City Fed