The Bank of Japan faces obstacles in raising interest rates, and Mizuho urges to take advantage of this opportunity to accelerate the reduction of bond purchases.
The Bank of Japan should accelerate the pace of reducing the scale of government Bonds purchases, as the possibility of pausing interest rate hikes will provide greater flexibility for the Bank of Japan to adjust its reduction plan.
Japan uses interest rate hikes in exchange for tariff concessions, even a 'mini Mar-a-Lago agreement'? Focus on next week's meeting of the finance ministers of the U.S. and Japan.
The discussion between the finance ministers of the USA and Japan next week may become a turning point for the yen Exchange Rates. Citigroup believes that if the USD/JPY Exchange Rates remain above 140, the Bank of Japan may accelerate the tightening of MMF policy under pressure from the USA. Considering the current inflation and interest rate levels in the USA, it is not yet mature to reach a "mini Mar-a-Lago agreement"; a more realistic solution is for the Japanese government to extend its MMF holdings of US Treasury bonds, contributing to a decline in US interest rates.
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The Nikkei/Yen in Japan plummeted, following the trend of the US stock market on Friday.
On Monday, Japan's Nikkei average index fell significantly amid a sell-off, following a sharp decline on Wall Street from the previous trading day, as investors expressed concerns about the slowdown in the USA economy. Last Friday, the US stock market closed sharply lower, with technology giants like Amazon and Microsoft facing selling pressure.
Japanese bonds have fallen to their lowest point since 2009! The Governor of the Bank of Japan reiterates the determination to 'reduce the balance sheet' and holds an optimistic view on salary prospects.
Kazuo Ueda stated, "From now on, we may see inflation easing driven by import costs, while wages will continue to rise steadily. Therefore, we expect real wages and Consumer spending to improve in the future." The Bank of Japan has also begun to implement an Algo tightening plan, with the monthly purchase of Bonds expected to be halved to 3 trillion yen by early 2026.
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